Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38

May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
3 - 3
Rangers

Shankland (33'), Lembikisa (82'), Tagawa (90+5')
Rowles (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCausland (52'), Cantwell (69'), Silva (79')
Dowell (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rangers

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

An entertaining end-to-end contest could on the cards between these two teams in what is now a dead-rubber fixture. You could argue that Rangers are still favourites to come out on top even without anything riding on this clash, but we believe that Hearts will give the Tynecastle faithful something to cheer and may find a way to claim at least a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Rangers
26.27% ( -1.93)	22.44% ( 0.07)	51.29% ( 1.87)

Both teams to score 61.68% (

-1.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.72% (

-1.88)

38.28% (

1.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.44% (

-2.03)

60.56% (

2.04)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-2.31)

27.33% (

2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

-3.1)

62.79% (

3.11)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.88% (

-0.04)

15.12% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.31% (

-0.08)

43.69% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Hearts 26.27%

Rangers 51.29%

Draw 22.43%

Hearts	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.27%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.43%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.67) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.01% Total : 51.29%