Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 17, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
4 - 2
Werder Bremen

Kleindienst (5' pen.), Dinkci (44', 68'), Beste (76')
Omar Traore (50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ducksch (49'), Weiser (64')
Stark (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-0 Mainz
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Heidenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

The sides boast similar attacking records heading into this one, and we expect both of them to get on the scoresheet. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with the teams having to settle for a point in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Werder Bremen
55.37% ( 2.77)	22.65% ( -0.25)	21.98% ( -2.51)

Both teams to score 55.83% (

-2.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.3% (

-1.59)

43.7% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.91% (

-1.58)

66.1% (

1.59)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.35% (

0.39)

15.66% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.31% (

0.71)

44.69% (

-0.71)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

-3.06)

33.81% (

3.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

-3.46)

70.47% (

3.47)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 55.37%

Werder Bremen 21.98%

Draw 22.64%

Heidenheim	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.84) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.59) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.57% Total : 55.37%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.64%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.51) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.98%