European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Cluj Arena

Italy U21s
0 - 1
Norway U21s

Ricci (49'), Cancellieri (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Botheim (65')
Evjen (6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Italy Under-21s and Norway Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-21s

All competitions

European Under-21 Championship

Last Game: Switzerland U21s 2-3 Italy U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	2	2	6
2	Italy Under-21s	2	0	3
3	Switzerland Under-21s	2	0	3
4	Norway Under-21s	2	-2	0

Norway Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Norway U21s 0-1 France U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	2	2	6
2	Italy Under-21s	2	0	3
3	Switzerland Under-21s	2	0	3
4	Norway Under-21s	2	-2	0

We said: Italy Under-21s 1-1 Norway Under-21s

A nervy 90 minutes could be in store for Italy, as Norway will play without pressure and may return to form shown in qualifying - Switzerland will prove no pushovers for France in the other Group D game, too. Nonetheless, even a draw may be enough for the Azzurrini to reach the knockout phase, where few teams will want to face them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Norway Under-21s had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Norway Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Italy Under-21s	Draw	Norway Under-21s
62.46% ( -0.51)	20.37% ( 0.1)	17.16% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 55.19% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

0.28)

40.54% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

0.29)

62.92% (

-0.3)

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

-0.06)

12.42% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.66% (

-0.12)

38.34% (

0.12)

Norway Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.02% (

0.66)

36.97% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.23% (

0.65)

73.76% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Italy Under-21s 62.46%

Norway Under-21s 17.16%

Draw 20.37%

Italy Under-21s	Draw	Norway Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 62.46%	1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.37%	1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.16%