Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3

Aug 4, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Pululu (79' pen.), Wdowik (86')
Olszewski (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Terpilowski (36')
Terpilowski (39'), Sanchez (58'), Marques Almeida Vieira Silva (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, July 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Widzew Lodz

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, July 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Widzew Lodz
43.21% ( -0.03)	26.47% ( 0.04)	30.32% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.15% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59% (

-0.14)

53.41% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

-0.12)

74.94% (

0.12)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.48% (

-0.08)

24.52% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

-0.11)

58.99% (

0.11)

Widzew Lodz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

-0.08)

32.23% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

-0.08)

68.72% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.2%

Widzew Lodz 30.32%

Draw 26.46%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Widzew Lodz
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.2%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.32%