After cruising to victory in their opening game against Zambia, we think that Japan will produce another dominant display to sweep past Costa Rica on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 94.19%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Costa Rica Women had a probability of 1.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.32%) and 2-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.15%), while for a Costa Rica Women win it was 0-1 (0.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan Women	Draw	Costa Rica Women
94.19% ( 0.05)	4.55% ( -0.06)	1.27% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 30.89% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.19% (

0.69)

20.81% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.76% (

0.96)

39.25% (

-0.95)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.85% (

0.09)

2.16% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

89.57% (

0.33)

10.43% (

-0.33)

Costa Rica Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.57% (

0.83)

68.43% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.61% (

0.31)

94.39% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Japan Women 94.18%

Costa Rica Women 1.27%

Draw 4.55%

Japan Women	Draw	Costa Rica Women
3-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 13.32% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.34) 5-0 @ 10.22% 6-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.12) 7-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 8-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 7-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.27% Total : 94.18%	1-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.92% Total : 4.55%	Other @ 1.27% Total : 1.27%