Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Roma |
41.67% ( -0.45) | 28.75% ( -0.22) | 29.57% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 44.31% ( 0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.07% ( 0.92) | 61.92% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.31% ( 0.67) | 81.68% ( -0.67) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% ( 0.2) | 29.31% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.72% ( 0.24) | 65.28% ( -0.24) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.68% ( 1.04) | 37.32% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.89% ( 1.01) | 74.1% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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