Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lech Poznan in this match.

Result
Korona Kielce	Draw	Lech Poznan
29.88% ( -0.08)	25.8% ( -0.03)	44.32% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.1% (

0.09)

50.9% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22% (

0.08)

72.78% (

-0.08)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75% (

-0.01)

31.25% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.4% (

-0.01)

67.6% (

0.01)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

0.09)

22.89% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36% (

0.13)

56.64% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Korona Kielce 29.88%

Lech Poznan 44.31%

Draw 25.79%

Korona Kielce	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.88%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.31%