Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 2

Aug 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
0 - 1
Genoa

Cataldi (38'), Pellegrini (90+2'), Zaccagni (90+3'), Immobile (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Retegui (16')
Frendrup (39'), Malinovskyi (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

While some smart recruitment means Genoa should not be as toothless as in recent top-flight campaigns, they lack the firepower to fully test a Lazio side that regularly churns out results on home soil. The visitors will start with back-to-back defeats, then, while their hosts make up for an aberration down at Via del Mare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Genoa
47.64% ( -0.36)	26.93% ( 0.09)	25.43% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.32% (

-0.11)

57.68% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.57% (

-0.09)

78.43% (

0.09)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

-0.22)

24.26% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39% (

-0.31)

58.62% (

0.32)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

0.18)

38.42% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

0.18)

75.17% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Lazio 47.64%

Genoa 25.43%

Draw 26.92%

Lazio	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 13.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.64%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.56% Total : 25.43%