Coupe de France | Round of 64

Jan 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
2 - 1
Caen

Joujou (16'), Kuzyaev (43')
Sangante (49'), Kechta (55')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kyeremeh (26')
Henry (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Le Havre and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Le Havre
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Amiens 0-0 Caen
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Caen
32.37% ( 0.13)	27.49% ( 0.05)	40.14% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26% (

-0.15)

56.74% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

-0.12)

77.68% (

0.12)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

0.02)

32.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

0.02)

69.02% (

-0.01)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33% (

-0.17)

27.67% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78% (

-0.22)

63.22% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 32.36%

Caen 40.14%

Draw 27.48%

Le Havre	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.36%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.14%