Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 14, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 1
Nantes

Sabbi (16'), Kuzyaev (83'), Grandsir (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bamba (90+3')
Pallois (66'), Bamba (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 1-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Le Havre have broadly thrived at Stade Oceane on their Ligue 1 return, blowing hot and cold in recent home matches means this one is harder to call. Nantes, on the other hand, have shown greater consistency in recent away matches, possibly giving them the edge on Sunday. Even though a draw could be expected, we will stick our necks out and opt for a road victory given that the Dean Club are winless in their last eight matches against Nantes in all competitions (five losses). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Nantes
39.53% ( 0.04)	27.64% ( -0.02)	32.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.81% (

0.09)

57.19% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96% (

0.07)

78.05% (

-0.06)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

0.07)

28.23% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

0.08)

63.94% (

-0.08)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

0.04)

32.4% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08% (

0.04)

68.92% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 39.52%

Nantes 32.83%

Draw 27.63%

Le Havre	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.52%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.83%