Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 16, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
3 - 1
Nice

Sabbi (5', 35'), Bayo (51' pen.)
Sabbi (27'), Targhalline (62'), Grandsir (80')
Grandsir (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Louchet (90+1')
Bard (56'), Dante (79')
Todibo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 2-1 Reims
Sunday, December 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Le Havre 0-0 Nice

Both sides tend to focus on defence first, and they each have the personnel to frustrate the opposition, so we expect to see a rather cagey affair on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Nice
20.05% ( -0.04)	25.67% ( -0.03)	54.28% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 44.18% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.19% (

0.07)

57.8% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.46% (

0.06)

78.54% (

-0.06)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.18% (

-0)

43.82% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.03% (

-0)

79.97% (

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

0.06)

21.37% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.65% (

0.09)

54.35% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 20.05%

Nice 54.27%

Draw 25.66%

Le Havre	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.05%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 14.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.27%