Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 0
Spezia

Umtiti (49'), Blin (89')

Wisniewski (59'), Esposito (86'), N'Zola (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Lecce
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce can celebrate their 600th Serie A fixture by securing a crucial win that could effectively keep them in the top flight. Spezia do not travel well - 11 losses from 17 away games attest to that - and they could be left hoping Verona do not capitalise on another slip-up at Via del Mare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Spezia
47.7% ( 0.34)	26.23% ( -0.05)	26.07% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.29% (

-0)

54.71% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.97% (

-0)

76.03% (

0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

0.15)

22.94% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28% (

0.23)

56.72% (

-0.22)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

-0.25)

36.24% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98% (

-0.25)

73.02% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Lecce 47.7%

Spezia 26.07%

Draw 26.22%

Lecce	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.7%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.07%