Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 10, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 1
Hellas Verona

Banda (37'), Sansone (79'), Pongracic (90+1')
D'Aversa (38')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Folorunsho (17')
Tchatchoua (43'), Silva (84'), Henry (90+1')
Henry (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lecce 1-0 Hellas Verona

Neither side is prolific, but Lecce are far harder to beat at Via del Mare, where they have picked up the bulk of their points this season. Verona can barely buy a goal on the road, and they may suffer an 11th away loss of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Hellas Verona
45.65% ( 0.24)	27.3% ( -0.04)	27.04% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.95% (

0.02)

58.05% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.27% (

0.02)

78.73% (

-0.02)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

0.13)

25.38% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81% (

0.18)

60.19% (

-0.18)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.76% (

-0.15)

37.24% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.97% (

-0.15)

74.03% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Lecce 45.65%

Hellas Verona 27.05%

Draw 27.3%

Lecce	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.65%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.05%