Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania1 - 3Serbia
FT(HT: 1-3)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 0-2 Serbia
Serbia should expect to do the double over lowly Lithuania, who simply cannot buy a win and could be bound for bottom place in Group G. The gulf in class between the teams will be apparent, but a dogged rearguard action by the home side may keep the scoreline respectable. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 8.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.57%) and 0-3 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
Result | ||
Lithuania | Draw | Serbia |
8.87% ( 0.24) | 16.87% ( 0.3) | 74.26% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 41.96% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% ( -0.55) | 44.93% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% ( -0.53) | 67.29% ( 0.53) |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.89% ( 0.18) | 53.11% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.28% ( 0.12) | 86.71% ( -0.12) |
Serbia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.48% ( -0.28) | 10.51% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.8% ( -0.64) | 34.19% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Lithuania 8.87%
Serbia 74.24%
Draw 16.87%
Lithuania | Draw | Serbia |
1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 8.87% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.49% Total : 16.87% | 0-2 @ 14.16% 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 10.63% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 5.99% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.7% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 74.24% |
How you voted: Lithuania vs Serbia
Lithuania
13.7%Draw
13.7%Serbia
72.5%51
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 14, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Lithuania
1-2
Serbia
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Serbia
4-1
Lithuania
Sep 7, 2018 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 12:15:09
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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