Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 3
Metz

Faivre (7'), Junior Kroupi (22')
Yongwa (48'), Doucoure (57')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sabaly (1'), Traore (65'), Jallow (83' pen.)
Udol (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz may have entered the international break with the wind in their sails, but Lorient arguably benefitted more from the fortnight's reset, especially with a couple of names exiting their packed treatment room. Les Merlus are seldom outclassed on their own turf as well, so we can envisage Le Bris's team ending their goalless streak to take a point off of their newly-promoted foes on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Metz
32.29% ( 0.02)	26.04% ( -0)	41.66% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.96% (

0.01)

51.03% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1% (

0.01)

72.9% (

-0.01)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

0.02)

29.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

0.02)

65.71% (

-0.02)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75% (

-0.01)

24.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.4% (

-0.01)

58.6% (

Score Analysis

Lorient 32.29%

Metz 41.65%

Draw 26.04%

Lorient	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.29%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.65%