Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
31.06% ( -0.81) | 23.89% ( -0.23) | 45.05% ( 1.03) |
Both teams to score 60.07% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( 0.72) | 41.94% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( 0.73) | 64.35% ( -0.73) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.03% ( -0.15) | 25.97% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.02% ( -0.2) | 60.98% ( 0.2) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.15% ( 0.73) | 18.85% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.69% ( 1.21) | 50.31% ( -1.21) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.06% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.38% Total : 45.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |