Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 1
Nice

Doucoure (77')
Laporte (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guessand (64')
Sanson (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Given that Lorient and Nice finished just three points apart in last season's Ligue 1 standings, we expect the two sides to share the spoils in an eventful encounter at the Stade du Moustoir. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Nice
29.06% ( -0.07)	26.18% ( 0.05)	44.75% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.16% (

-0.24)

52.84% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.54% (

-0.2)

74.45% (

0.2)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

-0.18)

32.85% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

-0.2)

69.42% (

0.19)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

-0.1)

23.52% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.44% (

-0.14)

57.56% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Lorient 29.06%

Nice 44.75%

Draw 26.17%

Lorient	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.06%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.75%