Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 24, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 4
PSG

Bamba (73')
Bakayoko (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dembele (19', 60'), Mbappe (22', 90')
Mendes (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lorient 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Despite picking up four points from their last two Ligue 1 meetings with PSG — a 3-1 win in Paris in April 2023 and a goalless game in this season's reverse fixture — Enrique's team should end that two-match winless sequence against Les Merlus on Wednesday, taking another step towards a 12th top-flight crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 9.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
9.53% ( -0.04)	14.35% ( -0.01)	76.12% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.89% (

-0.08)

30.11% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.68% (

-0.1)

51.32% (

0.1)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58% (

-0.15)

41.42% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07% (

-0.13)

77.93% (

0.13)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.46% (

-0)

6.53% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.63% (

-0.02)

24.37% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Lorient 9.53%

Paris Saint-Germain 76.12%

Draw 14.35%

Lorient	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.53%	1-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.35%	0-2 @ 10.07% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.55% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.17% Total : 76.12%