Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Dieng (53')
Dieng (32'), Mendy (71'), Toure (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bakwa (14'), Gameiro (49')
Perrin (68'), Sels (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg

As we near the end of 2023, Strasbourg appear to be finding their form, and we expect them to put away at least a couple of their opportunities against a Lorient side who have been poor defensively throughout the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Strasbourg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Strasbourg
34.73% ( -1.6)	25.33%	39.93% ( 1.6)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.6% (

-0.18)

47.4% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38% (

-0.16)

69.62% (

0.16)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

-1)

26.36% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

-1.36)

61.5% (

1.36)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

0.75)

23.51% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

1.08)

57.55% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

Lorient 34.73%

Strasbourg 39.93%

Draw 25.33%

Lorient	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.73%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.93%