Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
5 - 1
Fulham

Alvarez (31'), Ake (45+5'), Haaland (58', 70' pen., 90+5')
Rodri (41'), Silva (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ream (33')
Diop (43'), Robinson (45+3'), Reid (54'), Pereira (69')

Jack Grealish doubtful for England after missing Manchester City game through injury

Manchester City's Jack Grealish is reportedly a doubt for England's upcoming international after picking up a slight thigh injury.

Sep 2, 18:39

Fulham manager Marco Silva on September 2, 2023

Howard Webb admits Nathan Ake Manchester City goal against Fulham should not have stood

Referees' chief Howard Webb admits that Manchester City's second goal, scored by Nathan Ake, against Fulham in Saturday's Premier League game should not have stood.

Sep 6, 11:23

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-2 Man City
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Spurs (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 11.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Fulham
71.95% ( -0.44)	16.31% ( 0.22)	11.74% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.72% (

-0.46)

33.28% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.96% (

-0.53)

55.05% (

0.54)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.9% (

-0.2)

8.1% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.54% (

-0.52)

28.46% (

0.52)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26% (

0.05)

39.74% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.59% (

0.04)

76.41% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 71.95%

Fulham 11.74%

Draw 16.31%

Manchester City	Draw	Fulham
2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.26% Total : 71.95%	1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.31%	1-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 11.74%