Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 0
Le Havre

N'Duquidi (45+2'), Udol (68')

Salmier (42'), Bayo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Metz
Sunday, October 22 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Lens
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Metz are on a woeful run of form but got close to stopping the rot against title challengers Monaco last time out, and Boloni's men will be confident of earning a result in this one. Le Havre have struggled on the road since their return to the top table of French football, but we expect that the visitors will collect a point for their efforts on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Le Havre
43.04% ( 0.34)	26.33% ( -0.05)	30.63% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 51.73% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.26% (

0.09)

52.74% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.63% (

0.07)

74.37% (

-0.08)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

0.21)

24.31% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3% (

0.3)

58.69% (

-0.3)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

-0.17)

31.65% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93% (

-0.19)

68.07% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Metz 43.03%

Le Havre 30.64%

Draw 26.32%

Metz	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.64%