Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
41.3% ( -0.75) | 26.05% ( -0.05) | 32.65% ( 0.79) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.05% ( 0.42) | 50.95% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.18% ( 0.37) | 72.82% ( -0.37) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -0.19) | 24.39% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% ( -0.27) | 58.81% ( 0.27) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( 0.73) | 29.38% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.63% ( 0.89) | 65.36% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |