After making an extremely poor start to their title defence, Molde appear to have rediscovered their winning groove in recent times, with Moe's side desperately unfortunate not to close the gap on Bodo/Glimt last time out. Brann have re-adapted very well to life back in Norway's top flight, with their cup triumph further boosting their confidence, but we can envisage them falling to a narrow defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 3-2 (5.08%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	SK Brann
47.62% ( -0.85)	20.73% ( 0.25)	31.64% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 72.39% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.97% (

-0.94)

26.03% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.75% (

-1.22)

46.25% (

1.23)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.14% (

-0.59)

11.86% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.85% (

-1.27)

37.15% (

1.27)

SK Brann Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

-0.18)

17.87% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36% (

-0.31)

48.64% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Molde 47.62%

SK Brann 31.64%

Draw 20.73%

Molde	Draw	SK Brann
2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.62%	1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.73%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.72% Total : 31.64%