Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadionul CPTF

Moldova
1 - 1
Albania

Baboglo (87')
Rata (11'), Caimacov (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cikalleshi (25' pen.)
Mitaj (9'), Daku (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Moldova and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Poland 1-1 Moldova
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	6	8	13
2	Czech Republic	6	3	11
3	Poland	7	0	10
4	Moldova	6	0	9
5	Faroe Islands	7	-11	1

Albania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Albania 2-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	6	8	13
2	Czech Republic	6	3	11
3	Poland	7	0	10
4	Moldova	6	0	9
5	Faroe Islands	7	-11	1

While there is a chance Moldova could spring another surprise to leave both theirs and Albania's chance hanging in the balance, they will find it tough against the group's standout side. Albania have been imperious since losing their opening qualifier and should have minimal trouble in sealing their spot at next summer's finals here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Albania
24.84% ( -0.35)	25.42% ( -0.04)	49.74% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 50.4% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.49% (

-0.1)

52.51% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.82% (

-0.09)

74.17% (

0.08)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

-0.36)

36.09% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

-0.37)

72.87% (

0.37)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87% (

0.13)

21.13% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02% (

0.2)

53.97% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Moldova 24.84%

Albania 49.73%

Draw 25.42%

Moldova	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.84%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.73%