Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Lecce |
51.59% ( -0.34) | 25.44% ( -0) | 22.96% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.82% ( 0.32) | 54.18% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% ( 0.27) | 75.59% ( -0.27) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( -0.01) | 21.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( -0.02) | 53.8% ( 0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.25% ( 0.5) | 38.74% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.52% ( 0.48) | 75.48% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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