Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Aug 3, 2023 at 11am UK

HBF Park

Morocco Women
1 - 0
Colombia Women

Lahmari (45+4')
Chebbak (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vanegas (51')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's World Cup clash between Morocco Women and Colombia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco Women

All competitions

Last Game: S. Korea Women 0-1 Morocco Women
Sunday, July 30 at 5.30am in Women's World Cup

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia Women	2	3	6
2	Germany Women	2	5	3
3	Morocco Women	2	-5	3
4	South Korea Women	2	-3	0

Colombia Women

All competitions

Last Game: Germany Women 1-2 Colombia Women
Sunday, July 30 at 10.30am in Women's World Cup

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia Women	2	3	6
2	Germany Women	2	5	3
3	Morocco Women	2	-5	3
4	South Korea Women	2	-3	0

We said: Morocco Women 1-2 Colombia Women

After losing 6-0 to Germany in their opening game, Morocco would have restored some confidence with their narrow win over South Korea. While they will have aspirations of claiming consecutive victories, we think that the Lionesses of Atlas will be edged out by a Colombian side that are looking to clinch top spot in Group H. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia Women win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Morocco Women had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Morocco Women win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Morocco Women	Draw	Colombia Women
26.6% ( 0.28)	22.82% ( 0)	50.58% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 60.62% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.19% (

0.23)

39.81% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.84% (

0.24)

62.16% (

-0.24)

Morocco Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

0.32)

27.9% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

0.41)

63.51% (

-0.41)

Colombia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

-0.01)

15.92% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83% (

-0.02)

45.17% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Morocco Women 26.6%

Colombia Women 50.58%

Draw 22.81%

Morocco Women	Draw	Colombia Women
2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.6%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.58%