Coppa Italia | Round of 16

Dec 19, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 4
Frosinone

Cajuste (61'), Gaetano (74'), Politano (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrenechea (65'), Caso (70'), Cheddira (90+1' pen.), Harroui (90+5')
Bourabia (43'), Kvernadze (45+1'), Caso (71'), Harroui (80'), Monterisi (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Napoli and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Packed full of promising loanees borrowed from major clubs, Frosinone's youthful side may sparkle at home, but they are far less effective on the road. Even an unfamiliar Napoli XI should therefore be capable of progressing to the Coppa quarter-finals, but it could be a close call. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Frosinone
70.15% ( 0.02)	17.05% ( -0.02)	12.8% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.9% (

0.13)

34.1% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.03% (

0.14)

55.97% (

-0.13)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.31% (

0.04)

8.69% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.07% (

0.09)

29.92% (

-0.09)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.36% (

0.09)

38.64% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.62% (

0.09)

75.38% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Napoli 70.14%

Frosinone 12.8%

Draw 17.05%

Napoli	Draw	Frosinone
2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 70.14%	1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.05%	1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.8%