Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 21, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
3 - 1
Inter Milan

Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
Elmas (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lukaku (82')
Gagliardini (19')
Gagliardini (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, May 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Napoli 1-2 Inter Milan

Despite their heavy workload, Inter's winning run can continue at Stadio Maradona, as they seem to be at the peak of their powers - no matter which XI Simone Inzaghi sends out clad in Nerazzurri. They have actually scored the most goals from open play in Serie A this season - Napoli have incidentally recorded the most from set-pieces - and the visitors' greater goal threat on current form should swing the result in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Inter Milan
34.24% ( -0.29)	25.76% ( 0.28)	39.99% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.77% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64% (

-1.3)

49.36% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.59% (

-1.19)

71.4% (

1.19)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-0.8)

27.59% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88% (

-1.04)

63.12% (

1.04)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

-0.58)

24.35% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.24% (

-0.83)

58.75% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Napoli 34.24%

Inter Milan 39.99%

Draw 25.76%

Napoli	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.24%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.99%