Supercoppa Italiana | Final

Jan 22, 2024 at 7pm UK

KSU Soccer Stadium

Napoli
0 - 1
Inter Milan

Rrahmani (42'), Mazzarri (43'), Zerbin (46'), Simeone (55'), Gaetano (90')
Simeone (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (90+1')
Calhanoglu (44'), de Vrij (47'), Barella (55'), Martinez (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Supercoppa Italiana clash between Napoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Supercoppa Italiana

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Supercoppa Italiana

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Lazio
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Napoli 1-2 Inter Milan

Back-to-back wins have papered over the cracks in Napoli's facade, but Inter are in peak form and are equipped to exploit their fellow finalists' flaws. Inzaghi's men can be ruthless in the final third - and they give very little away either. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Inter Milan
40.62%	25.6%	33.78%

Both teams to score 55.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.23%

48.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13%

70.87%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23%

23.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08%

57.92%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41%

27.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88%

63.12%

Score Analysis

Napoli 40.62%

Inter Milan 33.78%

Draw 25.6%

Napoli	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.62%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.78%