Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 13, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 1
Salernitana

Politano (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (90+6')
Cajuste (34'), Kvaratskhelia (90+10'), Rrahmani (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Candreva (29')
Legowski (43'), Inzaghi (45+1'), Bradaric (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 3-0 Napoli
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, January 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana

Regardless of the 16-point difference between the sides, one victory in five at the Maradona (three altogether in 23-24) means Saturday's game with Salernitana is not guaranteed to end in a Napoli victory despite the Granata's broader away woes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Salernitana
76.79% ( 0.01)	14.46% ( -0)	8.74% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.36%

33.64% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.54% (

-0)

55.45% (

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.81% (

7.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.9% (

26.1%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.34% (

-0.01)

45.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.54% (

-0)

81.45% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Napoli 76.79%

Salernitana 8.74%

Draw 14.46%

Napoli	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 6.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.15% 5-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.52% 6-1 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.3% Total : 76.79%	1-1 @ 6.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.91% Total : 14.46%	1-2 @ 2.66% 0-1 @ 2.57% 0-2 @ 1.01% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.59% Total : 8.74%