Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
64.59% ( -0.84) | 18.15% ( 0.16) | 17.26% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 63.88% ( 0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.5% ( 0.54) | 29.5% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.41% ( 0.65) | 50.59% ( -0.65) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.29% ( -0.04) | 8.71% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.04% ( -0.09) | 29.96% ( 0.09) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.97% ( 1.07) | 30.03% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.85% ( 1.27) | 66.15% ( -1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 64.59% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.15% | 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.49% Total : 17.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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