Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Almere City

Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

With two wins, two draws and two defeats in their previous six matches, Nijmegen are a tough side to predict, but there should be goals, even if the two sides are difficult to separate on paper. Almere produced two mammoth performances to get their first top-flight wins before the international break, and maintaining a position outside of the bottom three will be the aim now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Almere City
57.93% ( 0.04)	20.73% ( -0.02)	21.35% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.68% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.43% (

0.07)

35.56% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.38% (

0.08)

57.62% (

-0.08)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.85% (

0.03)

12.15% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.23% (

0.07)

37.77% (

-0.07)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

0.02)

29.78% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

0.03)

65.85% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

NEC 57.93%

Almere City 21.35%

Draw 20.73%

NEC	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.93%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.73%	1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 21.35%