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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
48.15% ( 1.23) | 23.24% ( -0.14) | 28.6% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 60.82% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.71% ( -0.04) | 40.29% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% ( -0.04) | 62.66% ( 0.04) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( 0.45) | 16.98% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% ( 0.8) | 47.09% ( -0.8) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( -0.74) | 26.74% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% ( -0.99) | 62.01% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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