Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough are flying at the moment, and they will be aiming to record a third straight win over Norwich in Tuesday's contest. Boro won 2-1 at Carrow Road in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Middlesbrough
35.56% ( 0.23)	24.94% ( 0.02)	39.49% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 57.82% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47% (

-0.1)

45.52% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

-0.09)

67.85% (

0.09)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

0.08)

24.99% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

0.12)

59.65% (

-0.12)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

-0.17)

22.9% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34% (

-0.25)

56.66% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 35.56%

Middlesbrough 39.49%

Draw 24.94%

Norwich City	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.56%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.49%