Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
0 - 1
Liverpool

Danilo (90+3'), Gibbs-White (90+3'), Felipe (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunez (90+9')
Robertson (59'), Danns (85')

Darwin Nunez breaks Liverpool Premier League record with Forest winner

Darwin Nunez scores Liverpool's latest Premier League winning goal on record with his 99th-minute header in the Reds' 1-0 victory over Nottingham Forest.

Mar 2, 17:56

Nottingham Forest owner Evangelos Marinakis pictured in February 2019

Nottingham Forest owner 'chases referee in tunnel after Liverpool defeat'

Nottingham Forest owner Evangelos Marinakis reportedly chases after referee Paul Tierney after the Tricky Trees' gut-wrenching 1-0 loss to Liverpool.

Mar 2, 18:18

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on March 2, 2024

Jurgen Klopp defends controversial drop-ball decision in Nottingham Forest win

Jurgen Klopp defends the controversial drop-ball decision which led to Darwin Nunez's late winner for Liverpool in their 1-0 Premier League win over Nottingham Forest.

Mar 2, 20:57

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Man Utd
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Southampton
Wednesday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Liverpool
19.31% ( -0.11)	20.82% ( -0.05)	59.87% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.01% (

0.08)

38.99% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.69% (

0.09)

61.31% (

-0.08)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.3% (

-0.06)

33.7% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64% (

-0.07)

70.35% (

0.07)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

0.08)

12.68% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.13% (

0.16)

38.87% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 19.31%

Liverpool 59.87%

Draw 20.82%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.31%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.82%	1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 59.87%