UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 2
Brugge

(Club Brugge win 4-3 on aggregate)

Avila (78')
Mojica (29'), Garcia (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Skov Olsen (50'), De Cuyper (80')
Buchanan (45+3'), Onyedika (51'), Thiago (52'), Skov Olsen (67'), Mignolet (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Osasuna and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Club Brugge

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Brugge 7-1 RWDM
Sunday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Club Brugge

Club Brugge will be determined to utilise their recent European experience against Osasuna, but having failed to win a competitive game in Spain, we think that they will have to settle for a draw in Thursday's first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Club Brugge
27.8% ( -0.25)	24.69% ( 0.01)	47.51% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64% (

-0.21)

47.36% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

-0.19)

69.58% (

0.19)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

-0.29)

30.95% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-0.34)

67.24% (

0.35)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80% (

0.02)

19.99% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.82% (

0.03)

52.18% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 27.8%

Club Brugge 47.51%

Draw 24.69%

Osasuna	Draw	Club Brugge
1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.8%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.51%