Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
2 - 0
Sittard

van den Berg (42'), Velanas (90')
Garcia McNulty (46'), Namli (69'), van der Haar (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lazetic (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Utrecht
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Fortuna Sittard

PEC manager Jansen is expecting a different side to turn up compared to the one which lost in the KNVB Cup on Wednesday, but Fortuna will be a hard team to overcome. The visitors managed to get over the line in Amsterdam in midweek, and we are backing them to force a share of the spoils at the MACPARK Stadion on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
49.61% ( -3.01)	22.04% ( -0.02)	28.34% ( 3.03)

Both teams to score 65% (

2.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.3% (

2.67)

34.7% (

-2.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.34% (

2.93)

56.65% (

-2.93)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.61% (

-0.04)

14.39% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.71% (

-0.07)

42.29% (

0.07)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

3.49)

24.07% (

-3.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65% (

4.73)

58.35% (

-4.72)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 49.62%

Fortuna Sittard 28.34%

Draw 22.05%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.96) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.94) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.62) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.62%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.48) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.34%