Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19

Dec 16, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Puszcza Niepolomice
3 - 3
Jagiellonia

Siemaszko (50'), Craciun (63' pen., 83' pen.)
Zapolnik (42'), Stepien (69'), Mesanovic (84'), Cholewiak (89')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Wdowik (9'), Nene (17'), Imaz (28')
Skrzypczak (14'), Romanczuk (69')
Romanczuk (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Widzew Lodz
Monday, December 11 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-2 Rakow
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Puszcza Niepolomice	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
31.21% ( -0.13)	25.98% ( 0.06)	42.8% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 53.07% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

-0.29)

51.13% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

-0.25)

72.97% (

0.25)

Puszcza Niepolomice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.57% (

-0.23)

30.43% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36% (

-0.28)

66.63% (

0.28)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

-0.09)

23.72% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15% (

-0.13)

57.85% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Puszcza Niepolomice 31.21%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.79%

Draw 25.98%

Puszcza Niepolomice	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.21%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.79%