Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Qarabag2 - 2B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, March 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Qarabag FK 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen
As they did against Braga in the playoff round, Qarabag will look to relish their underdog status against Leverkusen and require another resolute defensive performance, similar to their last home outing with Die Werkself earlier this season, if they wish to keep the tie alive heading into the second leg. However, stopping the juggernaut that is Leverkusen will be a tall order for the Azerbaijani hosts, and Alonso's side should ultimately have few problems putting themselves in a strong position to progress beyond the last 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Qarabag FK | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
18.96% ( -0.23) | 20.62% ( -0.15) | 60.42% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 57.95% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.38% ( 0.33) | 38.61% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.08% ( 0.35) | 60.91% ( -0.36) |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% ( -0.04) | 33.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% ( -0.04) | 70.51% ( 0.03) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( 0.21) | 12.4% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.7% ( 0.43) | 38.3% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK 18.96%
Bayer Leverkusen 60.42%
Draw 20.62%
Qarabag FK | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 18.96% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.88% Total : 60.42% |
How you voted: Qarabag vs B. Leverkusen
Qarabag FK
10.7%Draw
11.9%Bayer Leverkusen
77.4%177
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Qarabag
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Qarabag
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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