Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Salzburg

Elustondo (38')

Dedic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla
Sunday, November 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Salzburg 3-2 Hartberg
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: Real Sociedad 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad have been arguably the revelation of this Champions League campaign so far, sealing progression after just four games, and will hope for a favour from Benfica to boost their chances of winning the group heading into a matchday six encounter with Inter. Salzburg dropping into the Europa League would give them a huge chance to be competitive, but it is likely to go down to the final matchday, as it will be a big ask for them to get a result here given Real's form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
34.15% ( 0.02)	25.66% ( -0)	40.19% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.08% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05% (

48.95% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96% (

71.04% (

-0.01)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.01)

27.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

0.02)

62.95% (

-0.02)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-0.01)

24.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65% (

-0.01)

58.35% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 34.15%

Red Bull Salzburg 40.19%

Draw 25.66%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.15%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.19%