Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 28, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Reims
1 - 0
Lorient

Wilson-Esbrand (84')
Teuma (37'), Still (81')
Still (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yongwa (61'), Bakayoko (65'), Mvogo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Reims
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Rennes
Sunday, October 22 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

A plethora of fresh injury concerns did not hamper Reims too much during their visit to Toulouse's Stadium Municipal, which is not a happy hunting ground for most teams, and Still's goal-happy troops should be backed to entertain the home crowd here. Lorient remain suspect at the back and were fortunate to benefit from a pair of Omari howlers in their victory over Rennes, so given their recent stretch of underwhelming results on the road, Les Merlus' luck should run out here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Lorient
52.17% ( 0.31)	23.29% ( 0.34)	24.54% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 56.87% (

-1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

-2.15)

43.82% (

2.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

-2.13)

66.21% (

2.13)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18% (

-0.67)

16.81% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2% (

-1.21)

46.79% (

1.21)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

-1.68)

31.63% (

1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95% (

-1.97)

68.04% (

1.97)

Score Analysis

Reims 52.17%

Lorient 24.54%

Draw 23.28%

Reims	Draw	Lorient
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.17%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.54%