Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 28, 2024 at 4.05pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
4 - 5
Brest

Kalimuendo (4', 9'), Theate (68'), Terrier (79')
Terrier (45+1'), Matusiwa (56'), Kalimuendo (80'), Le Fee (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mounie (11'), Omari (48' og.), Satriano (54'), Camara (66'), Brassier (90+6')
Lees-Melou (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Rennes
Saturday, April 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite enjoying an impressive campaign, Brest appear to have lost a degree of momentum in their Champions League bid, and while that may be down to a tough run of fixtures, they face another difficult test at the weekend against a Rennes side rejuvenated by an important victory last time out, and we back the hosts to make it consecutive three-point hauls on Sunday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Brest
48.26% ( -0.01)	24.4% ( 0.09)	27.33% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 55.83% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.58% (

-0.44)

46.42% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

-0.42)

68.7% (

0.41)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

-0.18)

19.31% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94% (

-0.29)

51.06% (

0.28)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19% (

-0.3)

30.81% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92% (

-0.35)

67.08% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Rennes 48.26%

Brest 27.33%

Draw 24.39%

Rennes	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.26%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.33%