Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
61.57% ( -0.28) | 22.97% ( 0.51) | 15.46% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 43.53% ( -1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( -2.28) | 54.26% ( 2.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% ( -1.93) | 75.65% ( 1.93) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.76% ( -0.9) | 17.23% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.46% ( -1.61) | 47.53% ( 1.61) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.59% ( -1.68) | 47.4% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.21% ( -1.28) | 82.79% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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