Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 0
Frosinone

Lukaku (21'), Pellegrini (83')
Karsdorp (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrenechea (46'), Soule (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 4-1 Roma
Thursday, September 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Disjointed displays and dismal results have led to piles of pressure on Roma to collect three points on Sunday. Their modest visitors from nearby Frosinone will not roll over, though, and with some astute coaching and a sprinkling of on-loan talent they can frustrate their illustrious hosts at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Frosinone
49.86% ( 0.47)	25.84% ( -0.13)	24.3% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 48.65% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.46% (

0.22)

54.54% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.11% (

0.18)

75.89% (

-0.18)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09% (

0.3)

21.91% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.82% (

0.45)

55.17% (

-0.45)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

-0.18)

37.69% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.53% (

-0.18)

74.47% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Roma 49.85%

Frosinone 24.3%

Draw 25.84%

Roma	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.3%