Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
25.16% ( -0.11) | 26.11% ( -0.14) | 48.73% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 48.7% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.11% ( 0.43) | 54.89% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.82% ( 0.36) | 76.18% ( -0.36) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.88% ( 0.15) | 37.12% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.09% ( 0.14) | 73.91% ( -0.15) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( 0.29) | 22.55% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.86% ( 0.43) | 56.14% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |