Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
13.36% ( -0.07) | 19.24% ( -0.1) | 67.4% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.78% ( 0.3) | 43.22% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.38% ( 0.3) | 65.62% ( -0.3) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.28% ( 0.09) | 43.71% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.11% ( 0.07) | 79.89% ( -0.07) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.15% ( 0.13) | 11.85% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.87% ( 0.29) | 37.13% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.36% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.24% | 0-2 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 67.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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