Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini

San Marino
0 - 4
Slovenia

Tosi (7'), Vitaioli (24'), Battistini (31')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vipotnik (4'), Mlakar (16'), Lovric (61'), Karnicnik (67')
Stojanovic (41')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between San Marino and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Denmark 4-0 San Marino
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Finland	5	8	12
2	Denmark	5	6	10
3	Slovenia	5	3	10
4	Kazakhstan	5	3	9
5	Northern Ireland	5	-3	3
6	San Marino	5	-17	0

Slovenia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Slovenia 4-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Finland	5	8	12
2	Denmark	5	6	10
3	Slovenia	5	3	10
4	Kazakhstan	5	3	9
5	Northern Ireland	5	-3	3
6	San Marino	5	-17	0

We said: San Marino 0-4 Slovenia

With all due respect to San Marino, anything other than a high-scoring away win would be a big shock in Serravalle, so we expect Slovenia to cruise to a comfortable victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 85.13%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.11%) and 0-1 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for Slovenia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Slovenia.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Slovenia
3.95% ( -0.03)	10.93% ( -0.04)	85.13% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 34% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.04% (

0.02)

37.96% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.78% (

0.03)

60.22% (

-0.02)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.32% (

-0.11)

63.68% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.58% (

-0.05)

92.42% (

0.05)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.61% (

0.02)

6.39% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.03% (

0.05)

23.97% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

San Marino 3.95%

Slovenia 85.12%

Draw 10.93%

San Marino	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 3.95%	1-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 10.93%	0-2 @ 15.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 14.11% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 11.19% 0-4 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.38% ( -0) 0-6 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1.1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 0-7 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 85.12%