Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Frosinone |
45.19% ( 0.32) | 24.37% ( -0.08) | 30.44% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 58.07% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.57% ( 0.25) | 44.43% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% ( 0.25) | 66.8% ( -0.24) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% ( 0.24) | 19.8% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.13% ( 0.39) | 51.86% ( -0.38) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% ( -0.03) | 27.59% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% ( -0.04) | 63.12% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Frosinone |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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