The Super Eagles boast a plethora of attacking options and could potentially run riot against a Saudi defence who have struggled for clean sheets in recent months. We are backing Nigeria to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Nigeria
27.63% ( -1.28)	26.54% ( -0.45)	45.83% ( 1.73)

Both teams to score 49.4% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.06% (

1.08)

54.93% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

0.89)

76.22% (

-0.88)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92% (

-0.43)

35.07% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.18% (

-0.45)

71.82% (

0.45)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

1.33)

23.91% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

1.87)

58.12% (

-1.87)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 27.63%

Nigeria 45.84%

Draw 26.53%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.63%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.84%