Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
32.36% ( -0.68) | 26.58% ( -0.34) | 41.05% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.78% ( 1.18) | 53.22% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.22% ( 0.99) | 74.78% ( -0.99) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% ( 0.14) | 30.7% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.04% ( 0.17) | 66.96% ( -0.16) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( 1.09) | 25.54% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.6% ( 1.46) | 60.41% ( -1.46) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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